Credit Spread Monitor for US AI Capex ecosystem

Option-adjusted spreads (OAS — BDT lattice for callable HY, Z-spread for the rest) · 10 bonds · as of 29 Aug 2026 · empirical percentiles vs each bond's own history · 📖 How to read this › · 📁 Archive (last 130) ›
Basket avg OAS
216 bp
Avg level percentile
74 / 100
Widening — 1w top decile
1 / 10
Stale (no fresh trade)
0 / 10

Investment-Grade average OAS 75 bp (+6 bp since 31 Dec 2025)

Mean OAS of the 7 IG bonds — all names except CoreWeave & SpaceX · since 31 Dec 2025
48607386Dec 2025May 2026Aug 2026
← swipe the table sideways for changes, trend & history →
CURRENTLEVEL1-DAY Δ1-WEEK ΔYTDHISTORY
Issuer / coupon / maturityYrsYield %OAS bp%ileΔbp%ileΔbp%ileΔbprange bptrend (last 90)n
CoreWeave 9.75 Oct-31 HY5.0912.0676891-7.929-39.98+226.4*451–915101
CoreWeave 9.0 Feb-31 HY4.4311.5972387-1.343-15.833-27.2416–856281
Oracle 2.875 Mar-31 IG4.575.9916497+0.556+0.752+26.666–182419
SpaceX 5.35 Jul-31 HY 4.885.82145-3.4-4.8+40.5*104–17750
Equinix 2.15 Jul-30 IG3.885.117874+1.572-6.19+5.853–115419
Micron 2.703 Apr-32 IG5.635.066327+4.193+1.764-8.529–160419
Meta 4.55 Aug-31 IG4.965.006295-4.06-3.221+23.626–78419
Amazon 2.1 May-31 IG4.704.925596+1.676+0.149+22.127–71419
Digital Realty 3.6 Jul-29 IG2.844.835511-1.331-2.427-7.849–112419
Alphabet 4.1 Feb-31 IG4.474.844892+28.099+56.7100+6.7*-9–51142
Level %ile tight wide (stress) Δ %ile widening tightening no trade Nd carried forward — no FINRA trade in N days ⚠ short history (n<60)* YTD since issue

Newsworthy — last 48h

No qualifying items in the last 48h (or news step skipped).
Method. OAS = option-adjusted spread over the bootstrapped US Treasury zero curve (from FRED CMT par yields) that reprices each bond's cash flows to its FINRA clean price. For the callable high-yield names (CoreWeave, SpaceX) the embedded call is valued on a Black-Derman-Toy short-rate lattice (CMT curve, lognormal vol per name) and its cost subtracted; the remaining bonds' calls are out-of-the-money (par-call near maturity) so their OAS equals the Z-spread to within a fraction of a bp. Illiquid bonds without a fresh TRACE print carry their last price forward, flagged no trade Nd. Level %ile = today's OAS within the bond's own history; Δ %ile = today's 1d/1w change within all historical same-horizon changes (100 = most extreme widening); PERCENTRANK.INC, suppressed below n=60. The trend sparkline spans each bond's last 90 sessions (shorter if its history is shorter) so all names cover a common window. Watch HY (CoreWeave, SpaceX) blowing out while IG (Meta, Oracle) holds — that divergence is the funding-stress tell.
Generated 2026-08-29T06:01:09.